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Florida’s near-total reliance on private vehicles for
transportation has created a serious affordability problem for many
residents of this state.
Using data about the Tampa metropolitan statistical area
(MSA) as an indicator for the rest of Florida, consumer costs for
transportation have soared in recent years. In fact, the Tampa MSA in 2002
had the highest percentage of household spending on transportation of any of
the 28 SMAs surveyed nationwide.
Consider these data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey,
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) 1997-2002:
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Average household spending on transportation in the
Tampa MSA rose from $6,958 to $8,850 – an increase of $1,892, or 27
percent, in only five years. The national average in 2002 was $7,759 spent
on transportation.
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Almost half of the increase in total household consumer
spending in Tampa ($4,083) in those five years went for transportation.
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Tampa households spent the highest percentage of
consumer spending in 2002 on transportation – 23.2 percent – of all 28
MSAs covered by the survey. The national average in 2002 was 19.1 percent.
The lowest MSAs were Baltimore (13.2 percent), New York (15.3 percent) and
Philadelphia (16.0 percent).
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This was nearly three percentage points higher than the
20.3 percent spent to own or rent a home in the Tampa MSA.
Assuming that the rest of Florida resembles the Tampa MSA,
our transportation system produces the highest percentage burden of consumer
spending on private transportation in the nation.
This is a direct result of our one-size-fits-all state
and local transportation policies that emphasize roads and private vehicles
over all other modes, especially walking and transit, and development
policies that encourage urban sprawl. In turn, it calls into question the
promise that more road building will enhance economic development and
prosperity.
Some consequences of this high consumer spending for
transportation include:
Consumers have less money for home ownership. The primary
tradeoff with higher transportation spending is less spending on shelter
(the cost of buying or renting a home) – which should concern Florida’s
residential real estate industry.
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Tampa households in 2002 spent $1,098 more on
transportation than on shelter.
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This is in line with the average Southern household,
which spent $1,129 more on transportation than on shelter. Northeastern
households spent $1,762 more on shelter than on transportation.
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In what may be related, the 2002 value of homes owned
by Southern households ($82,912) was 31.9 percent less than the value of
homes owned by Northeastern households ($121,815).
The working poor bear a disproportionate burden.
High transportation costs are a special burden on the working poor, because
nearly all of them must drive to work and other activities.
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Southern households earning $15,000 to $19,999 in 2002
paid 28 percent of their income for transportation, compared to 17.8
percent for Southern households earning $50,000 to $69,999.
These costs prevent many low-income families from owning
a home – especially important to achieve financial stability.
Florida receives less federal tax subsidy. Because
higher transportation costs decrease consumer dollars available for home
ownership, Florida collectively misses out on billions of dollars a year in
federal income tax deductions for home mortgage interest.
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For example, the doubling of retail gasoline prices in
six years now costs Florida consumers about $7.5 billion more annually.
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Spent instead on home mortgage payments, that $7.5
billion could generate $1.875 billion in increased tax deductions flowing
to Florida taxpayers (with a 25 percent marginal tax rate) as well as
significant deductions for ad valorem taxes.
Consumer wealth is less. Transportation spending
is an expense that drains a household’s asset wealth. This drain is likely
to grow as high gasoline prices persist and increase in coming years.
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New private vehicles lose about 60 percent of their
original value in their first three years, and money spent to operate and
maintain them is lost forever.
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In contrast, home purchase spending is an investment in
an asset that has appreciated strongly in recent years, allowing families
to build wealth and financial stability.
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The appreciation in turn leads to higher consumer
spending by homeowners, because of the “wealth effect.” As the NAR states,
“For each dollar increase in real estate assets, less mortgage debt,
consumers spend an additional eight cents in that year.”
Result: Florida has a more vulnerable, less productive
economy. The more a state produces what it consumes, the more productive
it is. High transportation spending thwarts that because it includes so
little in-state value added – and reduces spending on shelter, with a high
in-state value added. We are also more vulnerable than most other states to
oil price shocks, as we already witnessed during the two such crises in the
1970s.
In developing the 2025 Florida Transportation Plan,
what should we do?
Understand better the relationship between our
transportation system, the affordability problem and, ultimately, Florida’s
productivity. By giving this problem the same level of attention as
housing affordability, Florida officials could determine the reasons why
private transportation is the largest single expense for the average
household and develop strategies to lower such expenses.
Improve our understanding of the economic and equity
stakes in affordable transportation. Only by understanding the real
consequences of having the highest-cost transportation system in the nation
can we overcome the tremendous inertia of past decisions.
Expand transportation choices. Transportation
costs so much because private vehicles continue to be the only real choice
almost all Floridians have to get around and because urban sprawl continues
to increases distances to work, schools and other activities.
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A combination of new investments in multimodal
transportations and new incentives for more compact, walkable communities
can expand these choices, beginning with the most urgent projects first.
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As well, an important side benefit of improve
transportation choices would be to improve pedestrian safety in a state
with the nation’s worst rate of pedestrian fatalities.
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